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Currency Watch - Sterling Climbing

Sterling Climbs Following Wage Growth News, GBP/EUR Higher 

The pound climbed against other major currencies on Wednesday including the euro (GBP/EUR) after UK labour market data was released. Real wages jumped from 2.3% to 2.5% in the three months through October on the year. Excluding bonuses, average weekly earnings rose more modestly, from 2.2% to 2.3%.

The increase was positive news to investors following inflation readings in Monday’s session which had shown consumer prices had leapt higher to 3.1% in November. 

Economist Ben Brettel commented: 'The pay squeeze continues for now, but with wages growing a little more strongly and inflation set to fall back in the new year, this looks like it’ll come to an end in the next few months.'

The UK’s unemployment rate remained stable at 4.3%. However, in less positive news, the data shows that the number of people in employment has fallen for the second consecutive reading, dropping by -56K – the biggest fall since May 2015. 

Meanwhile, in the Eurozone, industrial production came in at a healthy 3.7% on the year in October, despite forecasts for only 3.3%. The euro might fluctuate on Thursday with the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision and follow-up press conference from ECB Chief Mario Draghi.

Additionally, Brexit developments are likely to make the headlines this week and create GBP fluctuations. 

So far in Wednesday’s European session, the pound to euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate has hit highs of 1.1379.

FC Exchange Morning Report

Current rates:

Wednesday 13th December 2017 at 12:30

£1.00 GBP = 1.1379 EURO

£1.00 GBP = 1.3347 USD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7649 AUD

£1.00 GBP = 1.9226 NZD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7175 CAD

£1.00 GBP = 18.2083 ZAR

Just imagine if YOU could forecast the exchange rate?

No one can do that of course but being well informed is a good start and knowing the events coming up that may influence the exchange rate may help you with your planning.

The latest quarterly currency market forecasts from the international money transfer experts, FC Exchange, are now available. The reports are essential reading for anyone buying or selling a property, in fact anyone making international money transfers.

The currency markets will always fluctuate, but last year saw unprecedented levels of volatility. The currency forecasts review the factors that have contributed to the uncertainty we have seen and look ahead to the issues that could affect currency markets in the next quarter and throughout 2017.

Grab your Free Report here... 

FC Exchange Market Report

Do you want more information ?

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

FC Exchange

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk

Add Comment | Views: 57

A big thank you to all the staff at Cle France

Hi Sharon,

Please see below my comments which I hope will reflect the positive experience and support we have received from you.

"We have recently purchased a property in France which had been an aspirations of ours for some time. However we were only in a position to realise this dream or ambition earlier this year. We commenced our search, like many, via the internet and soon became aware of the services and information available from Cle France Property Network. 

From our initial contact with recommended French Estate Agents through to our purchase of the property we have been able and confident about contacting Cle France for advice and guidance. 

Our questions were always answered quickly and professionally even when they may have been basic. Cle France provided support and assurance for us which was very much appreciated. We were also able to use the recommended financial and insurance services which were a benefit and easily accessible. 

We would like to say a big thank you to all the staff at Cle France for their ongoing care and hope that others will benefit as we did from their services.  

Like the words above – we would like to say a big thank you for your support and help"

Kind Regards, Name withheld at client's request.

Buying a House in France is easy with Cle France, You can do the same, it is easy for you because WE guide YOU through the French Property Buying Process from the very start to completion and beyond!

And as several of our clients say "Follow your heart and make the move"!

Thank You Cle France

Add Comment | Views: 24

Weekly Currency Report 11.12.2017

GBP 

Brexit deal shows sign of unravelling – sterling cautious

Last week

- Positivity surrounding Brexit negotiations started sterling off on the front foot last week, rising to a six-month high in trade-weighted index terms.

- As the week opened, the pound to euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate rose to a one-month high as Theresa May and Michel Barnier said talks were moving in the right direction.

- Sterling rallied on Friday after Brexit negotiations made a breakthrough following overnight talks and allowing thoughts to move on to trade. GBP/USD broke through the 1.35 key technical level as a result.

- The NIESR UK gross domestic product estimate printed at 0.5% in November, against the 0.4% forecast.

Week ahead

The pound has started the week in a tight range against other currencies as the Brexit deal made at the close of last week shows signs of unravelling. Brexit Secretary David Davis has been sending mixed messages along with other politicians after hasty four-way talks last week, leading some to believe that Britain isn’t prepared to agree to what it signed up for. Davis stated that the agreement ‘was more a statement of intent that it was a legally enforceable thing.’ Ireland has struck back to say that the deal is legally binding. Monday will begin the week with a meeting in Brussels with EU representatives. Theresa May will also hold a Cabinet meeting following a weekend of reports that her inner circle is fractured once again. One of the most influential events for sterling this week is likely to be the European Council meeting spanning across the 14th and 15th December. 

Tuesday could also be a big day for the pound when the UK inflation figure is printed. It’s currently forecast to come in at 3.0%, but any movement above or below could create sterling volatility. The Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate decision will be the talk of the market on Thursday, with forecasts expecting the level to hold at 0.50%.

EUR 

ECB’s Draghi speech, Eurozone economic sentiment, and employment data ahead

Last week

- Germany’s factory orders slipped in October on the year, coming in at 6.9% rather than the 7.0% predicted after September’s 9.7%.

- Towards the end of last week, the euro fell against the US dollar (EUR/USD) as Germany’s trade surplus narrowed.

- Eurozone retail sales came in at 0.4% in October on the year following September’s stronger 4.0%. Economists had thought the number would reside in the region of 1.6%. On a monthly basis, October showed a -1.1% decline.

Week ahead

In the week ahead, the euro might feel the impact of the ZEW Eurozone economic sentiment survey released on Tuesday. Wednesday might also be a day for market movement with the release of Eurozone industrial production and employment figures. Manufacturing and services stats will follow on Thursday. Additionally, on Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its own interest rate decision with central bank President Mario Draghi holding a follow-up press conference in Frankfurt.

FC Exchange Morning Report

USD

Trump to make closing tax reform argument this week

Last week

- The highly influential non-farm payrolls number was published at 228K in November against the forecast 195K. Headline unemployment held steady at 4.1%.

- The University of Michigan sentiment index fell from 98.5 in November to 96.8 in December; economists had predicted a rise to 99.0.

- US factory orders came in at -0.1% in October rather than the -0.4% contraction markets were expecting.

- The USD gained some support last week following President Donald Trump’s success regarding his tax reform bill. By mid-week, the US dollar found support as investors hoped to see the tax legislation pass before year-end.

Week ahead

This week it’s reported that Trump will prepare his closing tax reform argument ready to deliver on Wednesday. Trump tweeted: ‘Getting closer and closer on the Tax Cut Bill. Shaping up even better than projected. House and Senate working very hard and smart. End result will be not only important, but SPECIAL!’ 

Additionally, Wednesday will see the release of the US inflation figures which are forecast to rise from 2.0% to 2.2% on the year in November. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will also make its interest rate decision later in the Wednesday session. The US advance retail sales reading will be out in Thursday’s session.

Other

AUD - Australian Employment Data Ahead

- Last week the Australian gross domestic product (GDP) number came in at 2.8% in quarter three on the year, following forecasts for 3.0% growth. The previous reading was revised to 1.9%.

- This week, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe will give a speech in Sydney on Tuesday which may impact the Aussie. 

- Thursday could be another big day for the Australian dollar when Australian labour market statistics hit the market.

CAD - BoC’s Poloz speech in focus  

- Last week the Bank of Canada (BoC) held interest rates steady at 1.0% as forecast.

- Canadian housing starts data beat the 213K forecast to increase to 252.2K in November.

- BoC Chief Stephen Poloz is scheduled to make a speech on Thursday this week, his words might create some market movement. 

- Canadian existing home sales numbers will be out on Friday.

CNY – Markets await Chinese retail sales and industrial production figures

- The Chinese consumer price index showed a decline last week, coming in at 1.7% in November on the year, after October’s 1.9% reading. Economists had expected a smaller fall to 1.8%.

- China’s trade surplus with the US grew to $27.82 billion in November, up from October’s $26.62 billion. September’s $28.08 billion was the highest reading on record.

- This week, Chinese retail sales and industrial production numbers will be out on Thursday which may have a moderate impact on the yuan.

This week's data releases:

GBP – UK inflation – Tuesday

EUR – ZEW economic sentiment – Tuesday

AUD – RBA Governor Lowe speech – Tuesday

GBP – UK labour market data – Wednesday

USD – US inflation – Wednesday

USD – Fed interest rate decision – Wednesday.

Current rates:

Monday 11th December 2017 at 11:50

£1.00 GBP = 1.1353 EURO

£1.00 GBP = 1.3389 USD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7796 AUD

£1.00 GBP = 1.9358 NZD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7209 CAD

£1.00 GBP = 18.2666 ZAR

Just imagine if YOU could forecast the exchange rate?

No one can do that of course but being well informed is a good start and knowing the events coming up that may influence the exchange rate may help you with your planning.

The latest quarterly currency market forecasts from the international money transfer experts, FC Exchange, are now available. The reports are essential reading for anyone buying or selling a property, in fact anyone making international money transfers.

The currency markets will always fluctuate, but last year saw unprecedented levels of volatility. The currency forecasts review the factors that have contributed to the uncertainty we have seen and look ahead to the issues that could affect currency markets in the next quarter and throughout 2017.

Grab your Free Report here... 

FC Exchange Market Report

Do you want more information ?

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

FC Exchange

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk 

Add Comment | Views: 92

Christmas & Winter Traditions: Marché de Noel

One thing in common, that I love, about the various places I have lived in France over the years are the winter markets. They are smaller, larger, bigger and better in the varying regions of France but the one thing they all have is bundles of Christmas spirit and a sense of community, even though some of the stall holders travel the country to different markets; all the 'locals' visit the town square and share du vin chaud under des illuminations de Noel (Christmas lights).

If you are planning a viewing trip in December be sure to not only visit many nice french houses for sale, take time off and soak up the atmosphere at one of the local French winter markets.

Christmas Winter Markets in France

Photo by Jean-Pierre Dalbéra on Flickr

In many pays européens (European countries) December brings les marchés de Noel (Christmas markets). These marchés are a special seasonal affaire that last all too short, but provide a nice traditional atmosphere right in the middle of town.

The tradition originally comes from l’Europe centrale (Central Europe), and as such, the most famous marchés de Noel se trouve en Alsace (are found in Alsace). But there are well known marchés all throughout France.

Dans un marché de Noel you can buy all kinds of jouets (toys) and other petits cadeaux (small gifts), or for those older kids in the crowd, du vin chaud (mulled wine). The traditional shops line the streets, creating an outdoor shopping experience, a real winter wonderland.

While enjoying du vin chaud under des illuminations de Noel (Christmas lights), you might even catch un spectacle (a performance) or two. All in all, se promener dans (taking a walk in) un marché de Noel is the perfect way to get into the holiday spirit.

Cel France Health Insurance

Blog submitted by: David at The French Property Network - Cle France.

This blog was originally posted on The French Language Blog pages.

Add Comment | Views: 2637

Christmas for Père Fouettard

Santa’s Naughty Partner: Come Meet Père Fouettard!

He sees you when you’re sleeping

He knows when you’re awake

He knows if you’ve been bad or good

So be good for goodness sake!

Cle France Blogs

Image courtesy of 'le blog marievie'.

Christmas tomorrow, so that means there are only 24 hours to right your wrongs from the past year to make sure you end up on Santa’s nice list.

In many countries, good little boys and girls wake up to presents under the tree and stockings filled with goodies. The rotten apples get a gift from the man in red, too, but it’s in the form of coal. What are you supposed to do with un morceau de charbon (a lump of coal)? Well, I suppose you could harness its energy  for electricity or apply enough energy to transform it into a diamond, but that’s for another blog.

While coal was on the lips of many American politics this past political season, it certainly was not on any kid’s wish list. And while bad kids in France also receive coal, they have another thing to worry about that anglophone kiddies get to avoid: Père Fouettard (Father Whipper)!

We all know the story of the Christmas patriarch Saint Nicholas, the Bishop of Myra who was the inspiration behind Santa Claus. Nicholas came from a wealthy family and spent much of his life sharing his wealth with those less fortunate than he. Santa is a very nice man to the kids all around the world, but homeboy works alongside Father Whipper, who takes care of the naughty kids.

So what’s this punisher’s story? His first appearance dates back to the 12th century. A local innkeeper (in some variations, he’s a butcher) and his wife capture 3 wealthy children who were on their way to enrol in a religious boarding school. The couple rob the children, murder them, and cook them in a stew. Saint Nick was not happy and showed up at the innkeeper’s door. The innkeeper was transformed into Father Whipper and became an eternal partner with Saint Nick. Personally, I don’t see that as much of a punishment since the innkeeper continues to torture children, but I’m but a mere blogger.

On Saint Nicholas’s Day (le 6 décembre), Père Fouettard travels around and gifts coal and spankings. He’s pretty easy to recognise, too. Our cultures show Santa Claus the same way: a jolly fat man in a red suit with a big white beard. There are different representations of Father Whipper, but he’s easy to spot. Sometimes you’ll see him in dark robes carrying a bag with switches on his back. Other times, he’s wearing teh same suit as Santa, but it’s black. He has a darkened face from all the soot in the chimneys (and alas, sometimes, you’ll still see people playing him in blackface) and his beard is unkempt.

So you better be good whatever you do

cause if you’re bad, I’m warning you

you’ll get nothing* for Christmas

Alors, as-tu été sage cette année ?

So, were you good this year?

* = except coal and whippings

Cle France Savings

Blog submitted by: Alex at The French Property Network - Cle France.

This blog was originally posted on The French Language Blog pages.

Add Comment | Views: 472